Arizona – -(Ammoland.com)- In August, 2016 continued on its record breaking pace to become the year with the most gun sales ever. In August the pace slowed slightly, while breaking the previous record from last year. The 2016 NICS checks are far ahead of those for 2015, the previous record holder.
2016 is about two months ahead of the 2015 record. It is 29.5% ahead of where 2015 was at this time. If this pace continues, 2016 will end up with 30 million background checks for the year. In August, the scorching pace for 2016 has slackened a bit.
There are 15 years where we can compare the NICS background checks to the actual addition to the private firearms stock, as reported to the ATF. During that period there have been about .6 firearms added for each NICS check.
The NICS checks are done for more than new firearms. They are done for used firearms as well. They are done when trade ins are sold at gun shops or when used guns are sold at gun shows. NICS checks are done for gun carry permits, which are also breaking records every month.
We will not know exactly how many guns have been added to the private stock in 2016 until late January, 2018. The numbers will not be reported to the ATF until the end of 2016. The ATF is required by law to hold them from public view for a year, to prevent proprietary information from being released.
Given the NICS numbers, if there are 30 million checks done in 2016, there will probably be 18 million guns added to the private stock. That would increase the private stock to 406 million private firearms in the United States.
That would be a remarkable achievement.
A recent Pew poll showed 44% of households to have a gun, about the same as existed 50 years ago. Polls have been notoriously unreliable indicators of the number of guns in the country. Gun haters have taken to claiming that the number of gun owners are dropping. Gun ownership polls tend to show less owners when there is a push for more restrictions on guns. The less people trust the government about guns, the less likely they are to answer a poll by saying they own them.
Dean Weingarten has been a peace officer, a military officer, was on the University of Wisconsin Pistol Team for four years, and was first certified to teach firearms safety in 1973. He taught the Arizona concealed carry course for fifteen years until the goal of constitutional carry was attained. He has degrees in meteorology and mining engineering, and recently retired from the Department of Defense after a 30 year career in Army Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation.
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